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Will Home Prices Go Down in Salt Lake in 2024?

February 11, 2024


       As we navigate through 2024, many are wondering about the future of home prices in Salt Lake, especially given the dynamic real estate market. With a mix of easing interest rates, low inventory, and significant demographic shifts, Salt Lake’s housing landscape is complex. Here’s what you need to know about the direction of home prices in Salt Lake this year.

Interest Rates: A Glimmer of Hope for Buyers

One of the most significant developments has been the easing of mortgage rates from their peak of 8%. This shift has made homes more affordable for many and is expected to continue into 2025. For buyers who’ve been sidelined by high rates, this is welcome news. Lower interest rates can reduce monthly mortgage payments, making it easier for more people to enter the market.

Inventory Challenges Persist

Despite the positive news on interest rates, Salt Lake’s housing inventory remains tight. According to the latest data from the Salt Lake MLS, inventory is just under 4 months. This indicates that while there are more homes available than in the most constrained periods, it’s still considerably in favor for seller’s in this market. Low inventory means buyers may face competition and higher prices for homes that are price correctly.

The Impact of Pent-Up Demand

The market dynamics of the past few years have priced out many potential buyers, but they have also made many sellers hesitant to list their homes. Sellers who locked in historically low rates are reluctant to move and take on a new mortgage at current rates. This has contributed to the low inventory and pent-up demand, as both buyers and sellers are waiting for more favorable conditions.

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Utah's Growing Appeal

Utah has been a standout for several reasons, including being in the top 10 for population growth over the last few years, having one of the lowest unemployment rates, and ranking 13th in the nation for the number of high-paying jobs. These factors not only boost the local economy but also contribute to a robust real estate market. People are drawn to Utah for its job opportunities, quality of life, and beautiful landscapes, which keeps demand for homes strong.

A Healthy Real Estate Market

Each of these factors—easing rates, tight inventory, pent-up demand, and Utah’s economic allure—points to a healthy real estate market in Salt Lake. Despite challenges, there’s a balance of factors supporting market stability and growth. James Woods, the lead housing researcher from the Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute, projects about a 3% appreciation in Salt Lake’s home prices this year. This moderate growth suggests a market that’s cooling from the rapid price increases of recent years but still moving in a positive direction.

Looking Ahead

For those asking, “Will home prices go down in Salt Lake?” the answer is nuanced. While easing interest rates and Utah’s strong economic indicators provide positive momentum, low inventory and pent-up demand create upward pressure on prices. The projected 3% appreciation indicates growth, albeit at a slower pace than in recent years. For buyers and sellers alike, understanding these dynamics is key to navigating the Salt Lake real estate market in 2024.

In conclusion, Salt Lake’s real estate market in 2024 is shaped by a mix of easing mortgage rates, low inventory, and significant economic strengths. These elements, together, suggest a market that’s stabilizing and continuing to grow, making it an opportune time for those looking to invest in a home in this vibrant city.

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Alex Lehauli


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